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Toulouse vs Troyes prediction and preview (25 Oct 2026)

Published: 25 October 2026 · Updated: 25 October 2026

Toulouse–Troyes

Toulouse vs Troyes is on the Ligue 1 schedule for Sunday 25 October 2026 (16:15 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Toulouse 0 – 0 Troyes

The match finished Toulouse 0-0 Troyes. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Toulouse (55%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 27% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Toulouse55.3%
Draw27.3%
Troyes17.4%

Toulouse go in as slight favourites (55%). A Troyes win is rated at 17% and a draw at 27%.

Recent form

ToulouseLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. D
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
TroyesLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5
Goals scored · per match
Toulouse2
Troyes0.6
Goals conceded · per match
Toulouse1.4
Troyes3

Shared goals scale: 0–3 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Toulouse8
Troyes0

Toulouse come in with the better recent form (8 points to 0). Their combined scoring average is 2.6 goals per game.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Toulouse1,511.9
Troyes1,413.1

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 98.8. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Toulouse sit at 1512 and Troyes at 1413. Toulouse hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.