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Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026)

Published: 5 November 2026

Toulouse–Strasbourg

Friday 6 November 2026, 19:45 UTC: Toulouse welcome Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Toulouse36.1%
Draw26.9%
Strasbourg37%

The probabilities are close together: Toulouse 36%, draw 27%, Strasbourg 37%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

ToulouseLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. D
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
StrasbourgLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4
Goals scored · per match
Toulouse1.6
Strasbourg1.6
Goals conceded · per match
Toulouse1.2
Strasbourg2.2

Shared goals scale: 0–2.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Toulouse8
Strasbourg3

Toulouse come in with the better recent form (8 points to 3). Their combined scoring average is 3.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Toulouse1,492.2
Strasbourg1,515.6

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 23.5. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Toulouse sit at 1492 and Strasbourg at 1516. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.