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Stuttgart vs M'gladbach prediction and preview (23 Oct 2026)

Published: 22 October 2026 · Updated: 23 October 2026

Stuttgart–M'gladbach

Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC: Stuttgart welcome M'gladbach in the Bundesliga. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

Final result

Stuttgart 2 – 3 M'gladbach

The match finished Stuttgart 2-3 M'gladbach. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Stuttgart (64%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 17% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Stuttgart63.8%
Draw19.6%
M'gladbach16.6%

The model sees a clear edge for Stuttgart: a 64% chance of a Stuttgart win, against 17% for M'gladbach and 20% for a draw.

Recent form

StuttgartLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
M'gladbachLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5
Goals scored · per match
Stuttgart1.4
M'gladbach1.6
Goals conceded · per match
Stuttgart1
M'gladbach3.4

Shared goals scale: 0–3.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Stuttgart6
M'gladbach0

Stuttgart come in with the better recent form (6 points to 0). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Stuttgart1,567.1
M'gladbach1,400.9

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 166.2. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Stuttgart sit at 1567 and M'gladbach at 1401. On paper, Stuttgart are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.