Sturm Graz vs NK Celje prediction and preview (5 Nov 2026)
Sturm Graz–
NK CeljeSturm Graz host NK Celje in the Avrupa Ligi on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
What the model says
Sturm Graz go in as slight favourites (51%). A NK Celje win is rated at 21% and a draw at 29%.
Recent form
- L
- W
- D
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- D
- L
- L
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 3
Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Sturm Graz come in with the better recent form (7 points to 2). Their combined scoring average is 1.2 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 3.8. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Sturm Graz sit at 1460 and NK Celje at 1456. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.