San Marino vs Belarus prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)
San Marino–
BelarusSan Marino vs Belarus is on the UEFA Uluslar Ligi schedule for Thursday 12 November 2026 (19:45 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: San Marino 31%, draw 30%, Belarus 40%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- D
- W
- L
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
- L
- D
- L
- D
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Belarus come in with the better recent form (5 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 1.4 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 53.6. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), San Marino sit at 1435 and Belarus at 1489. Belarus hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.