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R. Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026)

Published: 7 November 2026

R. Sociedad–Rayo Vallecano

R. Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
R. Sociedad45.6%
Draw23.5%
Rayo Vallecano30.9%

R. Sociedad go in as slight favourites (46%). A Rayo Vallecano win is rated at 31% and a draw at 24%.

Recent form

R. SociedadLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Rayo VallecanoLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. D
  4. L
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
R. Sociedad2.8
Rayo Vallecano1.4
Goals conceded · per match
R. Sociedad1.8
Rayo Vallecano1.2

Shared goals scale: 0–2.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
R. Sociedad12
Rayo Vallecano8

R. Sociedad come in with the better recent form (12 points to 8). Their combined scoring average is 4.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
R. Sociedad1,512.9
Rayo Vallecano1,494.2

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 18.8. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), R. Sociedad sit at 1513 and Rayo Vallecano at 1494. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.