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Progres SE vs Ben Guerdane prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)

Published: 10 November 2026

Progres SE–Ben Guerdane

Thursday 12 November 2026, 09:00 UTC: Progres SE welcome Ben Guerdane in the 1. Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Progres SE43.6%
Draw36.2%
Ben Guerdane20.2%

The probabilities are close together: Progres SE 44%, draw 36%, Ben Guerdane 20%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Progres SELast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. L
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Ben GuerdaneLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Progres SE0.6
Ben Guerdane1.4
Goals conceded · per match
Progres SE0.4
Ben Guerdane0.4

Shared goals scale: 0–1.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Progres SE8
Ben Guerdane13

Ben Guerdane come in with the better recent form (13 points to 8). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Progres SE1,528.9
Ben Guerdane1,557.6

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 28.6. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Progres SE sit at 1529 and Ben Guerdane at 1558. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.