Progres SE vs Ben Guerdane prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)
Thursday 12 November 2026, 09:00 UTC: Progres SE welcome Ben Guerdane in the 1. Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Progres SE 44%, draw 36%, Ben Guerdane 20%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- W
- D
- W
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- D
- W
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
Shared goals scale: 0–1.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Ben Guerdane come in with the better recent form (13 points to 8). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 28.6. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Progres SE sit at 1529 and Ben Guerdane at 1558. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.