Portsmouth vs Swansea City prediction and preview (3 Nov 2026)
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 19:45 UTC: Portsmouth welcome Swansea City in the Championship. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Portsmouth 3 – 1 Swansea City
The match finished Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea City. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Portsmouth (36%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Portsmouth 36%, draw 28%, Swansea City 36%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- W
- W
- D
- W
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–1.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Portsmouth come in with the better recent form (11 points to 9). Their combined scoring average is 2.8 goals per game.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 56.3. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Portsmouth sit at 1512 and Swansea City at 1568. Swansea City hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.