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Piratas vs La Paz prediction and preview (11 Nov 2026)

Published: 11 November 2026

Piratas–La Paz

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 02:00 UTC: Piratas welcome La Paz in the Ascenso MX. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Piratas43%
Draw25.1%
La Paz31.9%

The probabilities are close together: Piratas 43%, draw 25%, La Paz 32%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

PiratasLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. D
  4. D
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
La PazLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Piratas2.2
La Paz2.4
Goals conceded · per match
Piratas0.6
La Paz1.2

Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Piratas9
La Paz11

La Paz come in with the better recent form (11 points to 9). Their combined scoring average is 4.6 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Piratas1,549.3
La Paz1,622.6

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 73.2. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Piratas sit at 1549 and La Paz at 1623. La Paz hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.