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Parma vs Bologna prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026)

Published: 6 November 2026

Parma–Bologna

Saturday 7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC: Parma welcome Bologna in the Serie A. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Parma34%
Draw28.4%
Bologna37.6%

The probabilities are close together: Parma 34%, draw 28%, Bologna 38%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

ParmaLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
BolognaLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Parma0.8
Bologna2.2
Goals conceded · per match
Parma1.6
Bologna1.4

Shared goals scale: 0–2.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Parma4
Bologna12

Bologna come in with the better recent form (12 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Parma1,432.5
Bologna1,530.3

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 97.8. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Parma sit at 1433 and Bologna at 1530. Bologna hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.