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Omiya Ardija vs Iwaki prediction and preview (3 Nov 2026)

Published: 3 November 2026 · Updated: 3 November 2026

Omiya Ardija–Iwaki

Omiya Ardija vs Iwaki is on the J2 Lig schedule for Tuesday 3 November 2026 (05:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Omiya Ardija 2 – 1 Iwaki

The match finished Omiya Ardija 2-1 Iwaki. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Omiya Ardija (45%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Omiya Ardija45.2%
Draw24.7%
Iwaki30.1%

Omiya Ardija go in as slight favourites (45%). A Iwaki win is rated at 30% and a draw at 25%.

Recent form

Omiya ArdijaLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
IwakiLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. D
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Omiya Ardija1.6
Iwaki2.2
Goals conceded · per match
Omiya Ardija1.8
Iwaki0.6

Shared goals scale: 0–2.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Omiya Ardija7
Iwaki11

Iwaki come in with the better recent form (11 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.8 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Omiya Ardija1,567.7
Iwaki1,548.4

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 19.4. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Omiya Ardija sit at 1568 and Iwaki at 1548. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.