Newcastle vs Everton prediction and preview (2 Nov 2026)
Newcastle–
EvertonMonday 2 November 2026, 20:00 UTC: Newcastle welcome Everton in the Premier Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Newcastle 0 – 1 Everton
The match finished Newcastle 0-1 Everton. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Newcastle (45%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 29% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Newcastle go in as slight favourites (45%). A Everton win is rated at 29% and a draw at 25%.
Recent form
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 3
- D
- W
- D
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Newcastle come in with the better recent form (6 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 1.8 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 12.2. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Newcastle sit at 1486 and Everton at 1473. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.