Napoli vs Roma prediction and preview (24 Oct 2026)
Napoli–
RomaNapoli vs Roma is on the Serie A schedule for Saturday 24 October 2026 (16:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
Final result
Napoli 3 – 3 Roma
The match finished Napoli 3-3 Roma. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Roma (38%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 27% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Napoli 34%, draw 27%, Roma 38%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- L
- W
- D
- W
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- W
- W
- D
- D
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
Shared goals scale: 0–1.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Roma come in with the better recent form (11 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 85.6. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Napoli sit at 1580 and Roma at 1666. Roma hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.