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Napoli vs Lazio prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026)

Published: 7 November 2026

Napoli–Lazio

Napoli vs Lazio is on the Serie A schedule for Sunday 8 November 2026 (11:30 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Napoli36.5%
Draw26.3%
Lazio37.2%

The probabilities are close together: Napoli 37%, draw 26%, Lazio 37%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

NapoliLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. D
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
LazioLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Napoli2
Lazio3.2
Goals conceded · per match
Napoli1.4
Lazio1

Shared goals scale: 0–3.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Napoli7
Lazio15

Lazio come in with the better recent form (15 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 5.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Napoli1,582.6
Lazio1,632.4

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 49.8. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Napoli sit at 1583 and Lazio at 1632. Lazio hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.