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Milan vs Inter prediction and preview (31 Oct 2026)

Published: 30 October 2026 · Updated: 31 October 2026

Milan–Inter

Milan host Inter in the Serie A on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Milan 3 – 1 Inter

The match finished Milan 3-1 Inter. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Inter (43%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 33% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Milan33.3%
Draw24.1%
Inter42.6%

The probabilities are close together: Milan 33%, draw 24%, Inter 43%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

MilanLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
InterLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored · per match
Milan2.2
Inter2.4
Goals conceded · per match
Milan1.4
Inter0.8

Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Milan10
Inter13

Inter come in with the better recent form (13 points to 10). Their combined scoring average is 4.6 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Milan1,576.3
Inter1,730.7

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 154.4. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Milan sit at 1576 and Inter at 1731. On paper, Inter are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.