Milan vs Bologna prediction and preview (28 Oct 2026)
Milan–
BolognaWednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC: Milan welcome Bologna in the Serie A. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Milan 2 – 4 Bologna
The match finished Milan 2-4 Bologna. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Milan (50%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 23% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Milan go in as slight favourites (50%). A Bologna win is rated at 23% and a draw at 27%.
Recent form
- D
- W
- D
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
- L
- D
- W
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Milan come in with the better recent form (11 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.4 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 115. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Milan sit at 1607 and Bologna at 1492. Milan hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.