Milan vs Atalanta prediction and preview (18 Oct 2026)
Milan–
AtalantaMilan host Atalanta in the Serie A on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
Final result
Milan 3 – 2 Atalanta
The match finished Milan 3-2 Atalanta. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Milan (55%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Milan go in as slight favourites (55%). A Atalanta win is rated at 20% and a draw at 25%.
Recent form
Milan: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 (W-D-D-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.
Atalanta: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (W-L-L-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Milan come in with the better recent form (9 points to 6). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Milan sit at 1583 and Atalanta at 1535. Milan hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.