Melgar vs Comerciantes Uni prediction and preview (30 Oct 2026)
Melgar–
Comerciantes UniFriday 30 October 2026, 00:30 UTC: Melgar welcome Comerciantes Uni in the Premier Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Melgar 1 – 1 Comerciantes Uni
The match finished Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes Uni. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Melgar (53%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 25% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Melgar go in as slight favourites (53%). A Comerciantes Uni win is rated at 22% and a draw at 25%.
Recent form
- W
- D
- D
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
- L
- L
- D
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Melgar come in with the better recent form (11 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 3.4 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 149.8. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Melgar sit at 1627 and Comerciantes Uni at 1478. On paper, Melgar are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.