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Mardin 1969 Spor vs F. Karagümrük prediction and preview (15 Oct 2026)

Published: 14 October 2026 · Updated: 16 October 2026

Mardin 1969 Spor–F. Karagümrük

Mardin 1969 Spor host F. Karagümrük in the Trendyol 1. Lig on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Mardin 1969 Spor 1 – 0 F. Karagümrük

The match finished Mardin 1969 Spor 1-0 F. Karagümrük. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Mardin 1969 Spor (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Mardin 1969 Spor60.8%
Draw27.6%
F. Karagümrük11.6%

The model sees a clear edge for Mardin 1969 Spor: a 61% chance of a Mardin 1969 Spor win, against 12% for F. Karagümrük and 28% for a draw.

Recent form

Mardin 1969 Spor: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 (D-W-L-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game.

F. Karagümrük: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 (D-L-D-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.

Mardin 1969 Spor come in with the better recent form (7 points to 6). Their combined scoring average is 2.6 goals per game.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Mardin 1969 Spor sit at 1540 and F. Karagümrük at 1519. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.