Man. United vs Aston Villa prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026)
Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC: Man. United welcome Aston Villa in the Premier Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Man. United 40%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 35%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- D
- D
- D
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 3
- Losses
- 2
- W
- D
- W
- W
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
Shared goals scale: 0–1.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Aston Villa come in with the better recent form (11 points to 3). Their combined scoring average is 2.4 goals per game.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 1.5. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Man. United sit at 1520 and Aston Villa at 1521. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.