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Lüksemburg vs Estonya prediction and preview (13 Nov 2026)

Published: 12 November 2026

Lüksemburg–Estonya

Lüksemburg vs Estonya is on the UEFA Uluslar Ligi schedule for Friday 13 November 2026 (19:45 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Lüksemburg41.6%
Draw33.4%
Estonya25%

The probabilities are close together: Lüksemburg 42%, draw 33%, Estonya 25%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

LüksemburgLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
EstonyaLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. D
  3. D
  4. W
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Lüksemburg1
Estonya0.4
Goals conceded · per match
Lüksemburg1.4
Estonya0.4

Shared goals scale: 0–1.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Lüksemburg6
Estonya6

Both teams have collected the same number of points from their last five (6). Their combined scoring average is 1.4 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Lüksemburg1,450.8
Estonya1,479.2

Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 28.3. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Lüksemburg sit at 1451 and Estonya at 1479. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.