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Lorient vs Monaco prediction and preview (18 Oct 2026)

Published: 18 October 2026 · Updated: 18 October 2026

Lorient–Monaco

Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC: Lorient welcome Monaco in the Ligue 1. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

Final result

Lorient 1 – 0 Monaco

The match finished Lorient 1-0 Monaco. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Lorient (44%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Lorient44.4%
Draw24.7%
Monaco31%

The probabilities are close together: Lorient 44%, draw 25%, Monaco 31%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Lorient: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 (L-W-D-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Monaco: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 (W-W-D-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Monaco come in with the better recent form (11 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Lorient sit at 1503 and Monaco at 1580. Monaco hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.