Leon vs CD Guadalajara prediction and preview (9 Nov 2026)
Monday 9 November 2026, 02:10 UTC: Leon welcome CD Guadalajara in the Liga MX. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Leon 35%, draw 28%, CD Guadalajara 37%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- D
- L
- W
- D
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 2
- D
- D
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
Shared goals scale: 0–1.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
CD Guadalajara come in with the better recent form (11 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 3.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 120.9. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Leon sit at 1487 and CD Guadalajara at 1608. On paper, CD Guadalajara are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.