Lecce vs Bologna prediction and preview (11 Oct 2026)
Lecce–
BolognaLecce host Bologna in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
Final result
Lecce 1 – 2 Bologna
The match finished Lecce 1-2 Bologna. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Bologna (53%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
Bologna go in as slight favourites (53%). A Lecce win is rated at 24% and a draw at 24%.
Recent form
Lecce: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (W-L-L-W-L; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game.
Bologna: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (L-L-D-L-D; most recent on the right), scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.
Lecce come in with the better recent form (6 points to 2). Their combined scoring average is 1.6 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Lecce sit at 1435 and Bologna at 1465. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.