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Karadağ vs Letonya prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)

Published: 11 November 2026

Karadağ–Letonya

Thursday 12 November 2026, 19:45 UTC: Karadağ welcome Letonya in the UEFA Uluslar Ligi. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Karadağ48.8%
Draw29%
Letonya22.2%

Karadağ go in as slight favourites (49%). A Letonya win is rated at 22% and a draw at 29%.

Recent form

KaradağLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
LetonyaLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. D
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored · per match
Karadağ1.6
Letonya0.6
Goals conceded · per match
Karadağ1.2
Letonya0.8

Shared goals scale: 0–1.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Karadağ10
Letonya7

Karadağ come in with the better recent form (10 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 2.2 goals per game.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Karadağ1,485.4
Letonya1,448.7

Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 36.7. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Karadağ sit at 1485 and Letonya at 1449. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.