İtalya vs Fransa prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)
İtalya–
Fransaİtalya host Fransa in the UEFA Uluslar Ligi on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
What the model says
Fransa go in as slight favourites (48%). A İtalya win is rated at 30% and a draw at 23%.
Recent form
- L
- D
- L
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 1
Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Fransa come in with the better recent form (12 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 4.6 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 53.4. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), İtalya sit at 1538 and Fransa at 1592. Fransa hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.