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Heracles vs Waalwijk prediction and preview (9 Oct 2026)

Published: 8 October 2026 · Updated: 9 October 2026

Heracles–Waalwijk

Heracles host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 9 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Heracles 3 – 0 Waalwijk

The match finished Heracles 3-0 Waalwijk. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Heracles (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Heracles60.8%
Draw27.6%
Waalwijk11.6%

The model sees a clear edge for Heracles: a 61% chance of a Heracles win, against 12% for Waalwijk and 28% for a draw.

Recent form

Heracles: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 (W-W-L-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.0 per game.

Waalwijk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 (W-W-W-L-D; most recent on the right), scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.

Both teams have collected the same number of points from their last five (10). Their combined scoring average is 5.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Heracles sit at 1596 and Waalwijk at 1561. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.