Hamburg vs M'gladbach prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026)
Hamburg–
M'gladbachHamburg host M'gladbach in the Bundesliga on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Hamburg 45%, draw 25%, M'gladbach 31%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- W
- W
- W
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
- L
- L
- L
- W
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Hamburg come in with the better recent form (9 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 6.5. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Hamburg sit at 1426 and M'gladbach at 1420. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.