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Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction and preview (24 Oct 2026)

Published: 23 October 2026 · Updated: 24 October 2026

Gaziantep FK–Erzurumspor FK

Gaziantep FK host Erzurumspor FK in the Trendyol Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Gaziantep FK 1 – 3 Erzurumspor FK

The match finished Gaziantep FK 1-3 Erzurumspor FK. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Gaziantep FK (47%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 22% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Gaziantep FK46.8%
Draw31%
Erzurumspor FK22.3%

Gaziantep FK go in as slight favourites (47%). A Erzurumspor FK win is rated at 22% and a draw at 31%.

Recent form

Gaziantep FKLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Erzurumspor FKLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Gaziantep FK1
Erzurumspor FK0.8
Goals conceded · per match
Gaziantep FK1.8
Erzurumspor FK0.6

Shared goals scale: 0–1.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Gaziantep FK4
Erzurumspor FK10

Erzurumspor FK come in with the better recent form (10 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 1.8 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Gaziantep FK1,440.2
Erzurumspor FK1,494.3

Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 54.1. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Gaziantep FK sit at 1440 and Erzurumspor FK at 1494. Erzurumspor FK hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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