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Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction and preview (9 Oct 2026)

Published: 8 October 2026 · Updated: 9 October 2026

Galatasaray–Kasımpaşa

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa is on the Trendyol Süper Lig schedule for Friday 9 October 2026 (17:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Galatasaray 3 – 1 Kasımpaşa

The match finished Galatasaray 3-1 Kasımpaşa. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Galatasaray (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Galatasaray60.8%
Draw27.6%
Kasımpaşa11.6%

The model sees a clear edge for Galatasaray: a 61% chance of a Galatasaray win, against 12% for Kasımpaşa and 28% for a draw.

Recent form

Galatasaray: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 (W-W-W-W-L; most recent on the right), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6 per game.

Kasımpaşa: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the last 5 (W-D-D-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Galatasaray come in with the better recent form (12 points to 9). Their combined scoring average is 3.4 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Galatasaray sit at 1698 and Kasımpaşa at 1506. On paper, Galatasaray are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.