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FK Atyrau vs Yelimay prediction and preview (14 Oct 2026)

Published: 14 October 2026 · Updated: 14 October 2026

FK Atyrau–Yelimay

FK Atyrau host Yelimay in the Premier Lig on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

FK Atyrau 1 – 2 Yelimay

The match finished FK Atyrau 1-2 Yelimay. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for FK Atyrau (44%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 31% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
FK Atyrau44%
Draw24.5%
Yelimay31.5%

The probabilities are close together: FK Atyrau 44%, draw 24%, Yelimay 31%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

FK Atyrau: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (L-W-L-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.

Yelimay: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (L-L-W-W-L; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game.

Both teams have collected the same number of points from their last five (6). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), FK Atyrau sit at 1414 and Yelimay at 1540. On paper, Yelimay are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.