Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction and preview (29 Oct 2026)
Fiorentina–
AtalantaFiorentina vs Atalanta is on the Serie A schedule for Thursday 29 October 2026 (19:45 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
Final result
Fiorentina 2 – 2 Atalanta
The match finished Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Fiorentina (39%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 27% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Fiorentina 39%, draw 27%, Atalanta 35%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- W
- D
- L
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
- L
- L
- W
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Both teams have collected the same number of points from their last five (4). Their combined scoring average is 3.6 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 87.9. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Fiorentina sit at 1438 and Atalanta at 1525. Atalanta hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.