Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction and preview (4 Nov 2026)
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 17:45 UTC: Fenerbahçe welcome Liverpool in the Şampiyonlar Ligi. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Fenerbahçe 37%, draw 27%, Liverpool 36%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- D
- W
- D
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 3
- Losses
- 1
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Liverpool come in with the better recent form (9 points to 6). Their combined scoring average is 3.6 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 59.5. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Fenerbahçe sit at 1516 and Liverpool at 1575. Liverpool hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.