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Etoile Sahel vs Stade Tunisien prediction and preview (12 Nov 2026)

Published: 10 November 2026

Etoile Sahel–Stade Tunisien

Thursday 12 November 2026, 09:00 UTC: Etoile Sahel welcome Stade Tunisien in the 1. Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Etoile Sahel32.5%
Draw28.9%
Stade Tunisien38.6%

The probabilities are close together: Etoile Sahel 33%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 39%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Etoile SahelLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. L
  4. W
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Stade TunisienLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Etoile Sahel1.2
Stade Tunisien1.6
Goals conceded · per match
Etoile Sahel1
Stade Tunisien0.8

Shared goals scale: 0–1.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Etoile Sahel8
Stade Tunisien12

Stade Tunisien come in with the better recent form (12 points to 8). Their combined scoring average is 2.8 goals per game.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Etoile Sahel1,490.7
Stade Tunisien1,565.7

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 75.1. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Etoile Sahel sit at 1491 and Stade Tunisien at 1566. Stade Tunisien hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.