Esenler Erokspor vs Mardin 1969 Spor prediction and preview (19 Oct 2026)
Monday 19 October 2026, 17:00 UTC: Esenler Erokspor welcome Mardin 1969 Spor in the Trendyol 1. Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Esenler Erokspor 4 – 2 Mardin 1969 Spor
The match finished Esenler Erokspor 4-2 Mardin 1969 Spor. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Mardin 1969 Spor (38%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 26% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Esenler Erokspor 26%, draw 36%, Mardin 1969 Spor 38%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
Esenler Erokspor: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (L-D-L-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.
Mardin 1969 Spor: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (W-L-L-W-W; most recent on the right), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game.
Mardin 1969 Spor come in with the better recent form (9 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 1.6 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Esenler Erokspor sit at 1536 and Mardin 1969 Spor at 1550. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.