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Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction and preview (30 Oct 2026)

Published: 29 October 2026 · Updated: 30 October 2026

Esenler Erokspor–Keçiörengücü

Esenler Erokspor vs Keçiörengücü is on the Trendyol 1. Lig schedule for Friday 30 October 2026 (17:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Esenler Erokspor 3 – 2 Keçiörengücü

The match finished Esenler Erokspor 3-2 Keçiörengücü. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Keçiörengücü (40%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 32% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Esenler Erokspor32.2%
Draw28.1%
Keçiörengücü39.7%

The probabilities are close together: Esenler Erokspor 32%, draw 28%, Keçiörengücü 40%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Esenler EroksporLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
KeçiörengücüLast 5 matches
  1. D
  2. W
  3. D
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored · per match
Esenler Erokspor1.6
Keçiörengücü1.4
Goals conceded · per match
Esenler Erokspor1.6
Keçiörengücü1.2

Shared goals scale: 0–1.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Esenler Erokspor7
Keçiörengücü8

Keçiörengücü come in with the better recent form (8 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Esenler Erokspor1,543.7
Keçiörengücü1,599.1

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 55.4. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Esenler Erokspor sit at 1544 and Keçiörengücü at 1599. Keçiörengücü hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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