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Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock prediction and preview (28 Oct 2026)

Published: 27 October 2026 · Updated: 28 October 2026

Dundee FC–Kilmarnock

Dundee FC host Kilmarnock in the Premiership on Wednesday 28 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.

Final result

Dundee FC 3 – 1 Kilmarnock

The match finished Dundee FC 3-1 Kilmarnock. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Dundee FC (50%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Dundee FC50%
Draw27.2%
Kilmarnock22.8%

Dundee FC go in as slight favourites (50%). A Kilmarnock win is rated at 23% and a draw at 27%.

Recent form

Dundee FCLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
KilmarnockLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. D
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored · per match
Dundee FC1.6
Kilmarnock1.2
Goals conceded · per match
Dundee FC1.6
Kilmarnock1.8

Shared goals scale: 0–1.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Dundee FC7
Kilmarnock7

Both teams have collected the same number of points from their last five (7). Their combined scoring average is 2.8 goals per game.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Dundee FC1,480.6
Kilmarnock1,417.9

Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 62.7. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Dundee FC sit at 1481 and Kilmarnock at 1418. Dundee FC hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.