Derby County vs Bolton prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026)
Derby County–
BoltonDerby County vs Bolton is on the Championship schedule for Friday 6 November 2026 (20:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
What the model says
Bolton go in as slight favourites (53%). A Derby County win is rated at 23% and a draw at 24%.
Recent form
- L
- L
- D
- L
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 4
- W
- D
- L
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Bolton come in with the better recent form (7 points to 1). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–1500 Elo · Rating gap: 74.7. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Derby County sit at 1400 and Bolton at 1474. Bolton hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.