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Cruzeiro MG vs Bahia BA prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026)

Published: 4 November 2026 · Updated: 4 November 2026

Cruzeiro MG–Bahia BA

Friday 6 November 2026, 00:30 UTC: Cruzeiro MG welcome Bahia BA in the Serie A. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Cruzeiro MG49.3%
Draw27%
Bahia BA23.8%

Cruzeiro MG go in as slight favourites (49%). A Bahia BA win is rated at 24% and a draw at 27%.

Recent form

Cruzeiro MGLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Bahia BALast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. D
  5. W

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored · per match
Cruzeiro MG2
Bahia BA1
Goals conceded · per match
Cruzeiro MG1.2
Bahia BA1.4

Shared goals scale: 0–2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Cruzeiro MG12
Bahia BA7

Cruzeiro MG come in with the better recent form (12 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Cruzeiro MG1,609.2
Bahia BA1,552.2

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 57. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Cruzeiro MG sit at 1609 and Bahia BA at 1552. Cruzeiro MG hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.