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Cagliari vs Juventus prediction and preview (11 Oct 2026)

Published: 10 October 2026 · Updated: 11 October 2026

Cagliari–Juventus

Cagliari vs Juventus is on the Serie A schedule for Sunday 11 October 2026 (18:45 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Cagliari 1 – 1 Juventus

The match finished Cagliari 1-1 Juventus. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Juventus (42%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 29% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Cagliari28.8%
Draw28.8%
Juventus42.3%

The probabilities are close together: Cagliari 29%, draw 29%, Juventus 42%. Small details could decide this one.

Recent form

Cagliari: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 (W-L-W-W-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.4 per game.

Juventus: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 (W-W-D-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Cagliari come in with the better recent form (12 points to 10). Their combined scoring average is 2.6 goals per game.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Cagliari sit at 1497 and Juventus at 1593. Juventus hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.