Bursaspor vs Mardin 1969 Spor prediction and preview (11 Oct 2026)
Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 UTC: Bursaspor welcome Mardin 1969 Spor in the Trendyol 1. Lig. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Bursaspor 1 – 2 Mardin 1969 Spor
The match finished Bursaspor 1-2 Mardin 1969 Spor. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Bursaspor (61%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 12% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Bursaspor: a 61% chance of a Bursaspor win, against 12% for Mardin 1969 Spor and 28% for a draw.
Recent form
Bursaspor: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 (W-W-W-D-W; most recent on the right), scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.0 per game.
Mardin 1969 Spor: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (D-D-W-L-L; most recent on the right), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game.
Bursaspor come in with the better recent form (13 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 3.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Bursaspor sit at 1583 and Mardin 1969 Spor at 1524. Bursaspor hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.