Burnley vs Charlton prediction and preview (13 Oct 2026)
Burnley–
CharltonTuesday 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC: Burnley welcome Charlton in the Championship. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Burnley 2 – 2 Charlton
The match finished Burnley 2-2 Charlton. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Burnley (61%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 28% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Burnley: a 61% chance of a Burnley win, against 12% for Charlton and 28% for a draw.
Recent form
Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (L-D-L-D-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Charlton: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (L-D-D-L-D; most recent on the right), scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
Burnley come in with the better recent form (5 points to 3). Their combined scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, suggesting tighter matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Burnley sit at 1473 and Charlton at 1436. The two teams are very close on this rating. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.