Burgos vs Granada prediction and preview (12 Oct 2026)
Burgos–
GranadaMonday 12 October 2026, 14:15 UTC: Burgos welcome Granada in the LaLiga 2. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
Final result
Burgos 0 – 1 Granada
The match finished Burgos 0-1 Granada. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Burgos (61%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 12% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Burgos: a 61% chance of a Burgos win, against 12% for Granada and 28% for a draw.
Recent form
Burgos: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 (D-W-W-W-L; most recent on the right), scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 per game.
Granada: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 (L-D-L-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4 per game.
Burgos come in with the better recent form (10 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Burgos sit at 1578 and Granada at 1476. Burgos hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.