Bulgaristan vs İzlanda prediction and preview (13 Nov 2026)
Bulgaristan–
İzlandaBulgaristan host İzlanda in the UEFA Uluslar Ligi on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
What the model says
The probabilities are close together: Bulgaristan 35%, draw 28%, İzlanda 37%. Small details could decide this one.
Recent form
- L
- L
- D
- L
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
- L
- D
- W
- W
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
Shared goals scale: 0–1.6 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
İzlanda come in with the better recent form (8 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 2.4 goals per game.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 40.6. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Bulgaristan sit at 1471 and İzlanda at 1512. İzlanda hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.