Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction and preview (5 Nov 2026)
Benfica–
Lech PoznanThursday 5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC: Benfica welcome Lech Poznan in the Avrupa Ligi. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Benfica: a 83% chance of a Benfica win, against 9% for Lech Poznan and 8% for a draw.
Recent form
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 5
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 0
- W
- D
- L
- L
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–3.2 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Benfica come in with the better recent form (15 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 5.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 134.2. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Benfica sit at 1631 and Lech Poznan at 1497. On paper, Benfica are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.