Benfica vs Celtic prediction and preview (15 Oct 2026)
Benfica–
CelticBenfica vs Celtic is on the Avrupa Ligi schedule for Thursday 15 October 2026 (19:00 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.
Final result
Benfica 4 – 1 Celtic
The match finished Benfica 4-1 Celtic. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Benfica (81%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Benfica: a 81% chance of a Benfica win, against 0% for Celtic and 19% for a draw.
Recent form
Benfica: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the last 5 (W-D-W-W-W; most recent on the right), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8 per game.
Celtic: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 (D-W-L-W-L; most recent on the right), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game.
Benfica come in with the better recent form (13 points to 7). Their combined scoring average is 4.8 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Benfica sit at 1594 and Celtic at 1476. Benfica hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.