Benfica vs Alverca prediction and preview (2 Nov 2026)
Benfica–
AlvercaBenfica host Alverca in the Premier Lig on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 20:15 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
Final result
Benfica 1 – 0 Alverca
The match finished Benfica 1-0 Alverca. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Benfica (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Benfica: a 61% chance of a Benfica win, against 17% for Alverca and 22% for a draw.
Recent form
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 1
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 2
Shared goals scale: 0–2.4 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Benfica come in with the better recent form (12 points to 9). Their combined scoring average is 4.2 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 226.4. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Benfica sit at 1716 and Alverca at 1489. On paper, Benfica are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.