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Barcelona vs Alaves prediction and preview (31 Oct 2026)

Published: 30 October 2026 · Updated: 31 October 2026

Barcelona–Alaves

Saturday 31 October 2026, 20:00 UTC: Barcelona welcome Alaves in the LaLiga. Below you will find the model's result probabilities, both teams' recent form and a strength comparison.

Final result

Barcelona 6 – 1 Alaves

The match finished Barcelona 6-1 Alaves. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Barcelona (68%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Barcelona67.7%
Draw20%
Alaves12.3%

The model sees a clear edge for Barcelona: a 68% chance of a Barcelona win, against 12% for Alaves and 20% for a draw.

Recent form

BarcelonaLast 5 matches
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
AlavesLast 5 matches
  1. L
  2. D
  3. L
  4. L
  5. D

Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right

Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored · per match
Barcelona3.8
Alaves0.6
Goals conceded · per match
Barcelona1.4
Alaves1.2

Shared goals scale: 0–3.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.

Points earned
Barcelona12
Alaves2

Barcelona come in with the better recent form (12 points to 2). Their combined scoring average is 4.4 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.

Strength comparison

Elo strength rating
Barcelona1,759.2
Alaves1,464.4

Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 294.7. Elo is not a win probability.

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Barcelona sit at 1759 and Alaves at 1464. On paper, Barcelona are clearly the stronger side. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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MatchScoreAI does not offer betting; it provides statistical probability analysis for matches.