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Avshar vs Ararat-Armenia prediction and preview (13 Oct 2026)

Published: 12 October 2026 · Updated: 19 October 2026

Avshar–Ararat-Armenia

Avshar vs Ararat-Armenia is on the 1. Lig schedule for Tuesday 13 October 2026 (10:30 UTC). We have put together the model's probabilities and how both sides have performed in their recent matches.

Final result

Avshar 3 – 1 Ararat-Armenia

The match finished Avshar 3-1 Ararat-Armenia. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Avshar (61%); that call was correct. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.

What the model says

Match result probabilities
Avshar60.8%
Draw27.6%
Ararat-Armenia11.6%

The model sees a clear edge for Avshar: a 61% chance of a Avshar win, against 12% for Ararat-Armenia and 28% for a draw.

Recent form

Avshar: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 (D-L-D-W-D; most recent on the right), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game.

Ararat-Armenia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 (L-D-D-L-W; most recent on the right), scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.

Avshar come in with the better recent form (6 points to 5). Their combined scoring average is 2.4 goals per game.

Strength comparison

On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Avshar sit at 1507 and Ararat-Armenia at 1400. Avshar hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.

Other probabilities

Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.

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Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.

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