Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction and preview (24 Oct 2026)
Augsburg–
Union BerlinAugsburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC. Here is how the MatchScoreAI statistical model sees the match before a ball is kicked.
Final result
Augsburg 1 – 1 Union Berlin
The match finished Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin. Before kick-off the model's highest probability was for a win for Augsburg (61%); that call did not come off. The model had given the actual result a 22% chance. You can follow the model's overall accuracy in the Performance section on the home page.
What the model says
The model sees a clear edge for Augsburg: a 61% chance of a Augsburg win, against 18% for Union Berlin and 22% for a draw.
Recent form
- W
- D
- L
- D
- L
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 2
- L
- L
- L
- W
- D
Oldest → newest · Latest match on the right
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
Shared goals scale: 0–2.8 goals/game. These are historical averages, not a goal forecast for this match.
Augsburg come in with the better recent form (5 points to 4). Their combined scoring average is 3.0 goals per game, which points to open matches lately.
Strength comparison
Scale: 0–2000 Elo · Rating gap: 78.1. Elo is not a win probability.
On the MatchScoreAI strength rating (Elo), Augsburg sit at 1508 and Union Berlin at 1430. Augsburg hold a small edge. Home advantage is added to the model separately.
Other probabilities
Over/Under 2.5, both teams to score, double chance and expected goals are available to members on the match page. Sign up for free to see the full analysis of this match.
Note: this article was generated automatically from MatchScoreAI's statistical model. Probabilities are not certain outcomes.